Support · Stage 4 · Probability

Support Identify and describe theoretical (expected) probabilities as being the likelihood of outcomes occurring under fair or unbiased conditions

Resources for the prerequisite content of this dot point: earlier-stage (or earlier sub-level) dot points in the same strand that students usually need first. Use these to fill gaps before or alongside the core lesson.

Prerequisite links are draft mappings generated from the syllabus structure (earlier stage, same strand, closest content). They are being reviewed by teachers. Spot a poor match? Tell us.

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Prerequisite dot points

Assign expected probabilities to outcomes in chance experiments with random generators, including digital simulators, and compare the expected probabilities with the observed probabilities after both small and large numbers of trials

Stage 3 · Chance B Draft mapping

  • Interactive toolEnrichment
    NRICH: Which Spinners?
    NRICH (University of Cambridge) · Interactive (browser) · Free · Link checked 2026-10-15 · Low floor high ceiling, No prep, Teacher notes
    Use it for: Match spinners to their results using expected vs observed frequency.

Use knowledge of benchmark fractions, decimals and percentages to assign probabilities to the likelihood of outcomes

Stage 3 · Chance B Draft mapping

No checked resources on this prerequisite dot point yet.

Use the term probability to describe the numerical value that represents the likelihood of an outcome of a chance experiment

Stage 3 · Chance A Draft mapping

No checked resources on this prerequisite dot point yet.